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Method-first notes on backtesting, Indian options, risk, costs, and validation. No signals, no recommendations, no calls, no price targets. Use it as a reading discipline for every study you encounter — including ours.

Educational only. Nothing in this note is investment advice, a recommendation, a trading call, a tip, a signal, or a price target. Examples are illustrative — never live market guidance.

Recommended path

Six steps to read any research honestly

A linear sequence for new readers. Each step builds on the previous one.

  1. 1Step 1
    What is a backtest?

    Set the right mental model before reading any historical study.

    Start →
  2. 2Step 2
    Common backtesting mistakes

    Learn the patterns that quietly inflate amateur studies.

    Start →
  3. 3Step 3
    Slippage, brokerage & taxes

    Understand the Indian cost stack that decides whether an edge is real.

    Start →
  4. 4Step 4
    How to read drawdowns

    Move past max drawdown — read duration and clustering.

    Start →
  5. 5Step 5
    How to validate a study

    Apply a neutral checklist to any published research.

    Start →
  6. 6Step 6
    How to read a report

    Navigate every section of an OptionScience report with intent.

    Start →
§01

Start Here

If you are new to OptionScience, start with these notes to set the right reading discipline.

§02

Backtesting Foundations

What a backtest is, the mistakes that quietly inflate one, and how to think about lookahead bias.

§03

Indian Options Market Basics

Structural features of Indian index and stock options that matter for research.

§04

Risk, Drawdowns & Position Sizing

How to read drawdowns and how short-premium asymmetry shapes equity curves.

§05

Costs, Slippage & Liquidity

Why honest cost modelling matters more than headline metrics in Indian markets.

§06

Overfitting & Validation

Why too-clean curves are warnings, and how walk-forward validation exposes fragility.

§07

Reading OptionScience Reports

A guided tour of the report structure and the limits of historical performance.

§08

Glossary

Definitions for the terms used across the OptionScience library.

Backtest
Historical simulation of a fixed rule set applied to past market data under stated assumptions.
Historical Backtest CAGR
Annualised historical return of the backtested rule, net of stated cost and slippage assumptions.
Max Historical Drawdown
Largest peak-to-trough decline of the historical equity curve produced by the backtest.
Historical Win Rate
Share of historical observations in the backtest with positive outcomes, net of costs.
Historical Profit Factor
Gross historical positive outcomes divided by gross historical negative outcomes.
Historical Expectancy
Average historical outcome per observation, net of stated assumptions.
Slippage
Modelled difference between intended execution price and realised execution price.
Brokerage
Charges levied by the broker per executed order; flat or percentage depending on the broker model.
STT
Securities Transaction Tax. Charged on Indian options sold on premium, and on exercised options on settlement value.
Bid-ask spread
Difference between the best bid and best ask price; a measure of immediate execution cost.
Liquidity
Ease with which an instrument can be transacted at a price close to the displayed quote.
Option premium
Price paid by an option buyer to the seller in exchange for the right granted by the option.
Strike price
Pre-specified price at which the underlying may be transacted under the option contract.
Expiry
Date on which the option contract terminates. Indian index options have weekly and monthly cycles.
Implied volatility
Volatility input that makes an option-pricing model match the market price; forward-looking by construction.
Historical volatility
Realised volatility of the underlying over a defined past window.
Delta
Sensitivity of option price to small moves in the underlying.
Gamma
Rate of change of delta with respect to the underlying; high near the strike and near expiry.
Theta
Rate of time decay of extrinsic option value, all else equal.
Vega
Sensitivity of option price to changes in implied volatility.
Margin
Capital posted to the exchange to cover potential losses; in India, SPAN plus exposure for derivatives.
Lot size
Number of units of the underlying represented by one contract; revised periodically by the exchange.
Drawdown duration
Length of time the equity curve stays below its prior peak.
Overfitting
A rule tuned so tightly to one historical window that it captures noise as if it were signal.
Walk-forward validation
Evaluation on rolling, non-overlapping windows, judged using only information available at each window's start.
Out-of-sample
Data window the researcher has not used while choosing parameters.
Lookahead bias
Use of information that the rule could not have had at the moment of decision.
Survivorship bias
Distortion arising when only currently-surviving instruments are used to represent a historical universe.
Regime shift
Structural change in market behaviour driven by participants, microstructure, or regulation.
Tail risk
Risk concentrated in rare, severe observations at the ends of the return distribution.
Gap risk
Risk of price moves between the close of one session and the open of the next.
Liquidity filter
Universe restriction (e.g. minimum OI, traded volume, max spread) that excludes illiquid strikes from a study.
Position sizing
Rule determining how much capital is allocated per observation in a study.
Risk framework
Documented procedure for handling worst-case observations, margin escalations, and stress events within a study.
Historical rule framework
Entry, exit, and risk rules used in a backtest, described as historical study material — never as live setups.
See the full glossary note: Open glossary article →
§09

Downloadable Checklists

Compact one-page checklists distilled from the notes. Use them while reading any study.

Checklist
Backtest Review Checklist

Run this before forming a view on any backtested study.

Checklist
Drawdown Review Checklist

How to read drawdown beyond the headline number.

Checklist
Cost & Slippage Checklist

Confirm an Indian options study survives realistic costs.

Checklist
Options Risk Checklist

Identify the risk surface before forming any view.

Checklist
Independent Validation Checklist

A vendor-neutral way to stress any published study.

Apply the method

Read a full historical study using the validation checklist.

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